Nothing says ‘success’ in business quite like a brand name entering the common vernacular. Think people ‘Hoovering’ their homes, or ‘Googling’ to look something up on the internet.

Another of the modern day digital giants has also lent its name what is now a well known and widely used phrase, in tech and commerce circles at least. The ‘Amazon Effect’, according to business website Investopedia:

“...refers to the impact created by the online, eCommerce, or digital marketplace on the traditional brick and mortar business model that is the result of the change in shopping patterns, customer expectations, and the industry's competitive landscape.”

Now that’s some accolade to put your name to - nothing short of shaking up the entire retail industry and changing the way people shop. Well, that’s Amazon for you. Innovative, disruptive, aggressively expansionist, no one would seriously argue that Amazon hasn’t helped change the face of commerce.

Still, there’s a danger of being misled by phrases like ‘the Amazon Effect’. Just like talk of ‘Hoovering’ glosses over the existence of dozens of other vacuum cleaner brands, and ‘Googling’ makes you forget other search engines exist, talking about ‘the Amazon Effect’ implies that Amazon has changed retail all by itself.

You start to get an inkling that that isn’t exactly true when you look at a list of the world’s biggest ecommerce companies. You quickly notice a pattern. Yes, Amazon is at the top of that list. But a large number of the top names - JD.com, Alibaba, Meituan, Rakuten, Mercado Libre, eBay, Otto - operate a business model notably similar to Amazon’s. They are all online marketplaces.

Digital marketplaces are like the department stores of online commerce, just scaled up many times over. While a bricks-and-mortar department store has physical restrictions on how many third-party vendor concessions it can fit under its roof, a digital marketplace has no such limitations. It can host thousands, if not tens of thousands, of vendors, reaping the benefits (and profits) of offering a truly massive product range, all in one place.

When you look at how digital marketplaces dominate lists of the world’s biggest ecommerce companies, it raises an interesting question. Is it really just Amazon that has changed the face of commerce as we knew it? Or should we instead be talking more broadly about ‘the Marketplace Effect’?

From the evidence of our latest (and biggest ever) Future Shopper consumer survey, there’s a good case to be made for saying we should. When you dive into consumers’ online shopping and spending habits across the globe - we carried out in-depth surveys in 18 different countries this year - it’s clear that Amazon is not the dominant force in all of them. However, with just a couple of exceptions, marketplaces are.

A lot of time and energy is spent in the commerce sector tackling the question, “what can we do about Amazon?” But the evidence from our Future Shopper report findings suggests it’s time to reframe that question. And not just to, “what can we do about marketplaces?” But instead ask, what is it about marketplaces that makes them so wildly successful, all over the world and in so many different guises? And rather than fret over competing with Amazon and the like, is it not time to consider whether the marketplace model is simply the one that works best in digital commerce? And should it therefore be copied more widely?

Where marketplaces rule - but Amazon isn't the big fish

Let’s start by dispelling a commonly held myth. Amazon is often referred to as the single biggest digital shopping channel. Globally, that isn’t true. Collectively, digital marketplaces are. But not just Amazon.

According to our latest Future Shopper findings, marketplaces combined command a 36% share of online consumer spend across the 18 countries we surveyed. When you break that down to individual countries, Amazon individually has the largest share in six - UK (24%), France (26%), Germany (29%), Spain (25%), USA (25%) and India (17%).

In six of the other countries, marketplaces other than Amazon, whether individually or collectively, command the biggest share of consumer spend, as per the table below:*

Market Leading Marketplace(s) 'Other' marketplaces
China Tmall - 17% JD.com, Pinduoduo - 21%
Japan Rakuten, Rojaco, Yahoo! Shopping, Mercari - 37%
Thailand Shopee, Lazada, 7-Eleven - 32%
Indonesia Tokopedia - 16% Shopee, Lazada, Blibli - 27%
Argentina Mercado Libre - 29%
Brazil Mercado Livre - 12% Magazine Luiza, Lojas Americanas - 15%

* Figures shown for the country’s single biggest online marketplace where that scored as one of the top channels individually. ‘Other marketplaces’ refers to combined spend on marketplaces other than the market leader in that country.

In Mexico, although supermarkets and grocers (20%) come out as having the single biggest share of consumer spend, Amazon (13%) and Mercado Libre (14%) combined account for more than a quarter of digital commerce sales. Similarly in Colombia, where Amazon has less of a presence (7%), when you add its share to Mercado Libre’s (14%), marketplaces again beat supermarkets and grocery (18%).

In the UAE, Amazon (15%) is the second biggest online channel, again after supermarkets (18%). And in Japan, Amazon (24%) is second to other local marketplaces led by the giant Rakuten - meaning marketplaces overall command a massive 61% share of digital spend there.

Overall, the only places we found where the combined figures for all marketplaces did not make them the number one online channel by spend were Australia (second, 22% share) and the Netherlands (second, 18% share).

Why marketplaces have such a huge appeal to consumers

Once we establish that the marketplace model is being used with great success by dozens of thriving companies worldwide, the next question is - why? What is it about marketplaces that has led to them dominating online retail?

Again, this is often framed as a question of ‘what Amazon does best’. But one of the most fascinating insights from our latest Future Shopper report is that consumers are most enthusiastic about marketplaces in countries where Amazon isn’t the dominant player - and perhaps even rate other marketplaces as being better at the things many people assume Amazon does best.

For example, one of the most discussed reasons why Amazon/marketplaces have become so successful is because they offer a complete shopping journey in one place. 64% of consumers told us the idea of being able to buy all the goods they needed from a single online channel appeals to them. 80% said they wanted to be able to get from the initial stages of looking for inspiration for what to buy through to purchase as quickly as possible - a quick, convenient approach to shopping we call ‘compressed commerce’.

The below table shows the top seven highest scores by country for both of these questions.

I am excited about being able to order all my goods through one retailer I want to be able to get from inspiration to purchase as quickly as possible
Indonesia 88% Thailand 95%
Thailand 86% Indonesia 94%
India 80% Brazil 90%
Brazil 77% India 88%
UAE 77% UAE 88%
South Africa 77% South Africa 87%
China 73% China 86%

First of all, it’s noteworthy that the same seven countries appear on both lists - these are the places where demand for speed and convenience is clearly highest. It’s even more noteworthy that in five of the seven - Indonesia, Thailand, Brazil, South Africa and China - Amazon is not the dominant marketplace (South Africa’s biggest digital marketplace is Takealot).

Could an argument be made that other marketplaces are meeting demand for speed and convenience more successfully than Amazon?

It’s difficult to tell whether the figures reflect differences in how marketplaces are performing or differences in consumer attitudes across countries. But what we can say for a fact is that marketplaces other than Amazon enjoy a very strong reputation for the experience they are offering people.

We asked digital shoppers to rank various channels on 14 different categories of experience, ranging from price and product availability to delivery and customer service. The results were unanimous. Marketplaces came out as the top pick in every single category, averaging out at 55% of global shoppers saying marketplaces offer the best overall experience - way ahead of retailers in second place.

But look at the countries where marketplaces scored significantly higher again and we see some familiar names - Indonesia (79%), Thailand (68%), Brazil (73%). Countries where Amazon isn’t the dominant player.

Similarly, when we look at how marketplaces are used, 67% of shoppers we spoke to said they check marketplace reviews and pricing even when shopping on other sites. 60% said they did so even when standing in a store. These figures peaked in Thailand (86% and 82% respectively), Indonesia (82% and 81%) and India (82% and 81%).

What we can say, then, is that marketplaces across the board are head and shoulders of other online channels for meeting consumer expectations. They offer the speed and convenience of an all-in-one-place, ‘compressed’ shopping journey. They deliver on all aspects of experience. They are a go-to resource at all stages of the shopping journey, even offline.

And that’s not just Amazon. In fact, in some places around the world, other marketplaces are showing even greater domination of the digital commerce landscape than Amazon does in its own heartlands.

Conclusion: An Expanding Model

What the findings from our Future Shopper 2022 report makes clear is that it’s time to move on from conversations about the influence and impact of marketplaces that focus too narrowly on Amazon. Yes, the Seattle-based giant is a big deal. It’s the only ecommerce specialist in the top 10 biggest retail companies in the world (and is in fact in second place behind Walmart).

But the marketplace model is anything but a one-pony trick. Marketplaces other than Amazon are also enjoying phenomenal success. What is more, they are dominating some of the world’s biggest consumer markets - China, Indonesia, Brazil, Thailand. To understand the real power and opportunity that marketplaces offer, we ignore the likes of the Alibaba Group (owners of Tmall in China and Lazada in South East Asia), Rakuten, Mercado Libre and many more at our peril.

Given this global success, a pertinent question to ask is - what next for marketplaces? Will the model continue to grow and grow, and dominate digital commerce more and more?

The signs are that it may well do. We’re already seeing the emergence of the ‘branded marketplace’, or the phenomenon of well-established retail and brand names launching marketplaces of their own. Notable examples are Walmart and Marks & Spencer. 54% of consumers we surveyed this year said they liked buying from these latest entrants onto the scene.

Similarly, social media companies are looking to get in on the act. Facebook already operates a moderately successful C2C marketplace, while Meta has also pioneered on-platform selling for brands through Instagram. Social commerce is the fastest growing digital shopping channel - this year, 64% of consumers told us they’d bought through a social platform, up a massive 20% from the figure in 2021. Social commerce takes the marketplace model in an entirely fresh new direction.

Finally, established marketplaces are also pushing aggressively to expand their own reach into new markets, such as banking and financial services. Amazon has added a hugely successful publishing and broadcasting arm to its Prime brand, and is also making strides into the bricks-and-mortar grocery sector with its pioneering ‘checkoutless’ Go stores.

What’s clear is that there is still some way to go before the ‘everything in one place’ commerce dream becomes a reality. But we’re likely to see the marketplace model grow and grow until it is achieved.

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