The idea of intelligent machines has fired the human imagination for centuries. There’s no doubt a touch of vanity about it - the sense that the ultimate expression of human ingenuity would be to create a machine that can think and talk just like us.

There’s also more than a whiff of wishful thinking about it - the hope that smart, sentient machines will one day free us from the yoke of labour and do all the work for us.

Much of what passes for Artificial Intelligence, universally recognised by the acronym AI, still sounds like science fiction. Intelligent robots capable of independent decision-making, automated systems that ‘learn’ on the job, massive hive-mind computer networks that can perform very ‘human’ tasks like write poetry or compose music…

But the fact that, as a global industry, AI is now worth more than $400 billion is no fairy tale. It’s a sign of just how important AI has become in a relatively short space of time. And of how much work is going into developing AI-based products, services and solutions.

AI is not the only technology carrying us through yet another wave of digital transformation. Yet when we surveyed business leaders and decision makers from commerce and retail about their views on the next generation of emerging, disruptive technologies, a clear consensus emerged.

Compared to technologies including Blockchain and the many different crypto-industries it is spawning, the ‘XR’ extended reality family that includes AR and VR, the metaverse and Web 3.0 (aka the ‘semantic’ or machine-readable, AI-friendly web), AI is clearly out in front as the technology commerce leaders are pinning their future hopes on.

It is the technology they believe will have the biggest impact on their business in the coming years, and the technology they are most forthright about adopting.

So, what’s behind this love affair between digital commerce and AI? Here’s what we found out.

The disruptive tech that business leaders trust

One thing that really shone through our survey findings was how much trust business figures have in AI. Many new and emerging technologies attract as much trepidation from people in business as enthusiastic support. That’s perfectly natural. For most businesses, technological evolution ends up meaning disruption and expense.

The benefits can take some time to trickle through, if they ever come at all. The last thing any decision maker wants to do is back the wrong horse and end up investing in a dud. For that reason, many people in business take up a position of studied scepticism on most emerging technologies, demanding to be fully convinced of the benefits before they commit.

But while AI is still widely considered an emerging technology, and we have a long way to go before we get close to realising its full potential, it seems senior figures from commerce and retail have already been won over. For example, a staggering 91% told us that they expected AI to boost their business in the next one to two years - not in some far-off murky future, but within current strategic planning cycles.

Asked to pick out what they felt the specific benefits of AI would be, their answers covered a broad spread.

  • 29% said AI would help to make their businesses more efficient, and the same number said it would deliver cost savings.
  • 27% told us they believed AI would help them build differentiation.
  • 26% said it would lead directly to new revenue streams.
  • 25% said it would future-proof their business.

All of this seems to be coming from a strong position of understanding, too. While some respondents told us they didn’t yet feel up to speed with certain technologies and the opportunities they presented, including the likes of the metaverse and Web 3.0, we heard no such concerns about AI. Indeed, 67% of people we surveyed described their understanding of AI as ‘strong’, the top figure ahead of Blockchain (64%) and XR technologies (60%).

One pattern we did spot, however, was that understanding of AI is higher among larger firms. It peaked at 74% of firms with 500 or more employees, and was down at 50% for those with between 10 and 99 employees.

The future today

So, what’s behind such high levels of trust in AI among commerce movers and shakers?

One reason is its relative maturity. Out of all the technologies we quizzed commerce leaders about, AI was the most developed and proven. In fact, the first successful AI programme dates back to 1951. Familiarity is another reason and helps explain why AI came out markedly ahead in our survey in terms of current adoption. 51% of our survey participants said AI was already in use in their organisation, compared with 44% who said they had already deployed Blockchain technologies, and 43% who are actively using XR.

What is more, a further 33% said that roll out of AI technologies was already in progress in their organisation.

Backing up the adoption rate figures, 61% of respondents said they rated their present ability to work with Blockchain as ‘strong’, again pushing Blockchain into second place (56%). Similarly, 60% rated the ability of their current tech infrastructure to support AI applications as strong.

These figures tell us that leaders and decision makers in digital commerce are no longer looking at AI as a ‘future’ technology. It’s very much a part of their present thinking and strategy.

And compared to other so-called ‘emerging’ or disruptive technologies, a higher rate of adoption for AI naturally suggests a higher level of trust. In digital commerce, AI is already a technology that businesses are prepared to back.

Recognising the need for partnership

Asked if they had any concerns about adopting AI, 32% of business leaders - the largest proportion for any single answer - said they had no worries at all. In fact, we found there was nearly as much concern around not adopting AI as there was about any potential barriers to adoption.

For example, 29% of people we spoke to said they worried AI implementation might be too costly for their business, and 24% said they were concerned about the technical complexity. These concerns were higher among smaller businesses. 41% of firms with between 10 and 49 employees, for example, cited cost as a risk factor in them adopting AI.

On the flipside, 24% told us that not adopting AI would put undue pressure on monetising existing channels and technology. 22% said delays in adoption would put them at risk of being superseded by more agile competitors, and 21% said a failure to act with AI could see them lose relevance with customers.

Interestingly, this last concern was notably higher among smaller firms with a turnover of between £1-10 million. 41% of respondents in this bracket feel AI is something their customers increasingly demand.

Another issue raised by survey respondents relevant to all new technologies is the fact that businesses often face a struggle finding support for implementation. Overall, two thirds of people we spoke to said they saw a lot of value in working with a specialist partner when adopting new technologies, yet 29% said they had difficulties finding one.

As far as AI is concerned, this need to find an expert implementation partner is pressing for many commerce companies. Although confidence is encouragingly high in business’s ability to work with AI using their present tech stack, we still found two in five companies felt their present capabilities could be improved. With high awareness of how important AI could be to their business within the next couple of years, this creates pressure on firms to find the right support quickly.

Through the unparalleled breadth of expertise across people, processes, tech and data, VML Commerce can help. VML Commerce company Satalia specialises in enterprise AI systems that improve profitability, customer and employee satisfaction. Coupled with our world class expertise in digital commerce strategy and technical implementation, we can offer an end-to-end consultancy and delivery solution for introducing the right AI applications to make a significant difference to your business.

To get the full lowdown on what senior figures in digital commerce across the UK, US and China think about the next wave of technologies shaping the present and future of retail, download our Disruptive Technologies report.

To discuss how AI can support your organisation, please contact us here.

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